The Packers are no longer the favorites to win the NFC North this season.
Or at least that's what the analysts of FiveThirtyEight.com think. According to them, the Lions, who currently lead the Pack by one game in the division's standings, now have the better chance of playing at home this postseason, in spite of the fact that the Pack don't seem to have another hard contest left on their schedule:
The site's full numbers:
Lions (6-2): 56 percent chance to win the division; 77 percent chance to make the playoffs.
Packers (5-3): 37 percent chance to win the division; 60 percent chance to make the playoffs.
Bears (3-5): 4 percent chance to win the division; 8 percent chance to make the playoffs
Vikings (3-5): 3 percent chance to win the division, 8 percent chance to make the playoffs.
Packers (5-3): 37 percent chance to win the division; 60 percent chance to make the playoffs.
Bears (3-5): 4 percent chance to win the division; 8 percent chance to make the playoffs
Vikings (3-5): 3 percent chance to win the division, 8 percent chance to make the playoffs.
Agree? Disagree? Leave your thoughts below.
1 comment:
This is something I've been thinking about. I still think the Packers are the favorite because of Aaron Rodgers. It'll be hard for the Lions defense to keep up their fantastic season because defense is notoriously inconsistent (ask the Seahawks) while Stafford isn't having a good season. He was struggling before Calvin Johnson was injured, so Megatron's return isn't going to cure all of his problems or their inability to run the ball. Eventually the Lions will start to fall short instead of winning incredible comebacks against the Saints and Falcons.
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